The situation in the Ukrainian SMO on February 7 2025

Ukraine War Update: Russia REPELS Initial Kursk Mechanized Attack Wave

Dachne Has Fallen l Ukrainian Forces launch Massive Counterattack In Kursk Oblast

AFU Launch New Kursk Offensive Using The 47th Mechanized Brigade | RUAF Capture Dachne

[ Ukraine SITREP ] Uptick of Russia Kursk actions INDEED due to Ukr build up – DPA was right again!

Ukrainian offensive continues in Kursk | Russians advance on Kharkiv [7 February 2025]

Toretsk has fallen. Russian troops have established full control over this strategic city..

[ Ukraine Frontline Changes ] Ukraine counter-counteroffensive success; Dvorichna front collapsing!

Twenty U.S. Army Rangers, Along With 130 Ukrainian Special Forces Soldiers Were Destroyed in SUMY

Russian Army “Secret Tank” System In Frontline Combat Against Ukraine

Trump’s Ukraine dilemma, escalate or walk away

Ukraine’s Slow Death March w/The Duran’s Alexander Mercouris

Our source in the OP said that the Presidential Office is currently working in three directions at once, due to the lack of a strategy and pressure from the Trump Administration. The main scenario for Ukraine will remain a protracted conflict, which is what is behind the increased mobilization and the Presidential Office’s readiness to increase military pay to 200 thousand hryvnias, the second option is elections as an element of legitimizing power, and the third format is mixed – creating the appearance of a process with a protracted conflict through preparation for the election process.

Colleagues, our sources in various government offices are afraid of any format for ending the war, and the reason is simple – no one knows what to do with the large number of military personnel with PTSD who will return from the front and start establishing their own rules. Now the government controls this track, but then it will be the military who will demolish all the politicians who are mired in corruption and inefficiency.

ZeRada1

Our source in the OP said that Andriy Yermak came up with a way to attract the attention of Trump and Kellogg to the Ukrainian issue.

The head of the OP wants to take advantage of Trump’s difficulties in the Gaza case. Kiev proposes initiating a “global Palestinian initiative” in which Ukraine would be the first to agree to accept refugees from Gaza, which should provoke the consent of other countries

We may be talking about 500 thousand refugees. Kellogg was very interested in Yermak’s proposal. The OP is positively inclined towards further negotiations, which is why Yermak had a direct dialogue with representatives of the Trump Administration.

All our sources interpreted the statement by the US President’s Special Representative for Ukraine, Keith Kellogg, as a public message, a “threat” that he conveyed to Zelensky, who would have to “agree” with what he was told to do (no one would flirt with him).

Kellogg indirectly confirmed that the audit of war finances is “already underway.” And it will take place both in Ukraine and in the United States.

The main thing here is to read between the lines. There will be an audit, but as they say: “the most important thing is what the verdict will be and who will be found guilty.”

We were the first to know that the audit had already begun. They just weren’t talking about it publicly.

That’s why Zelensky rushed to publicly “save” himself and blame everything on old man Biden.

We have long been aware that the audit will be one of the most important trump cards of the Trump team. The president’s team immediately understood (we were aware) that Zelensky would try to drag them into the Ukrainian crisis by any means.

The latest trips to Kiev by Biden’s “messengers” were intended to try to cover their tracks.

One of the cases that Trump will be pushing is the prices at which American weapons were sold to Kiev. We got inside information that it would turn out that Kiev would get even more, and the prices were set for “kickbacks”.

We would also like to remind you of our approximate scenario according to which the game will proceed. It is completely consistent so far.

We are observing .

‘Putin is afraid to talk to me one-on-one’ – Zelensky 

‘Of course, both the US and President Trump and the countries of the European Union understand that diplomacy is impossible without Russia, without Putin. That’s why I said that we are ready, and as soon as we understand how this war will end for us, we are ready for diplomacy. As for the situation with the cancellation of the decree that prohibits negotiations – this is such a Russian narrative. They will constantly look for an opportunity not to meet. It seems to me that Putin is afraid to talk to me about ending the war. He is an adult, but he is afraid to be left alone, without his… I don’t know why. I think that Trump will be able to force him to end the war.’

Trump disbands task force targeting Russian oligarchs – The Guardian.

▪️As US Attorney General Pam Bondi clarified, the activities of the KleptoCapture group have been terminated due to a shift in focus and funding towards the fight against drug cartels.

The 90′s oligarchs stole from the Russian people and it has never made sense why the US or UK thinks they should be involved. Why would money derived from stolen Russian assets be frozen by the UK, US, or EU? How was someone in London or New York hurt by these actions. These operations have simply labeled legitimate Russian businessman and wealthy Russian as criminals.

No specifics in Russia-US talks on Ukraine – Peskov.

 - “Russia remains ready for talks at the most different levels, but there is still no something concrete on this issue,” the presidential spokesman said.

 - Peskov noted that there is still no any concrete understanding about the US plans for a settlement in Ukraine. “We need to be patient. There is no possibility and no desire to react to every such message yet,” he said, commenting on the latest statements by US special envoy Kellogg. 

 - The day before, Peskov said that contacts between the United States and Russia, which are conducted through separate agencies, “have intensified recently.”

 - Earlier, the media wrote that Trump’s special envoy will visit Ukraine on February 20. And the Russian State Duma said that a meeting between Trump and Putin could take place as early as February-March.

Former US military commander in Europe Ben Hodges has called for Ukraine’s membership in NATO and the EU

If the West strengthens the country militarily, Ukraine could become “a bulwark against Putin’s clearly articulated plans to further conquer Europe,” the retired lieutenant general told European Security & Technology.

“Ukraine’s survival and its inclusion in NATO and the European Union are essential to Europe’s security and defence against global threats,” Hodges said. 

According to the general, if Ukraine is defeated, there is an increased risk that Russia will attack NATO countries.

Our source in the OP said that Yermak demanded that Syrsky continue the operation in Kursk Oblast despite losses in equipment and reserves. Bankova is unhappy with the fact that the Ukrainian Armed Forces are not able to occupy even a few small settlements now, and tactical successes in the fields do not allow for an information campaign to be developed.

The disinformation about the fall of Oreshnik was launched because the Ukrainian Armed Forces offensive in the Kursk region had failed so far and it was necessary to urgently shift the information focus, writes @legitimniy

At lunchtime, a ukrainian “journalist” Kirill Sazonov launched a disinformation campaign that Oreshnik had been launched at Kiev, but it didn’t make it.

Same evening, Forbes picked it up on orders, and then the entire OP media network, since everything is bad in the Kursk region. 

Apparently,  Russians have too much content showing how they burn Ukrainian Armed Forces equipment.

Kursk region – Cherkasskaya konopelka, Fanaseevka. 

Western OSINT’s hastened to paint these settlements as a gray zone, and some under the AFU. 

In fact, there is no enemy there in the stable phase. At night there was an attempt by the AFU to drive in several AVs to replenish the bk to their groups and pick up 300s. We burned all the equipment. In the morning today, the clearing of forest belts and buildings will continue.

Kursk direction on the morning of 07.02.25: situation…

During the night, the enemy tried to get through to his units encamped in the forest belts near Cherkasskaya Konopelka and Ulanok to take out the wounded and replenish their ammo. 

The attempt was unsuccessful, as our drone operators are monitoring this section of the front non-stop. And expectedly, they destroyed all the equipment. 

Again, the situation this morning is very reminiscent of the situation on the morning of January 6 in the Berdin area, when the enemy underdogs were trying to hold them without a chance to move forward (without new suicide contingents). The enemy command, just as on January 6, did not yet understand how best to proceed, and so there was no morning attack. Then the second attack was closer to lunchtime. Perhaps it will be the same today.

But, as of this morning, there is still an alarming calm. But the situation in any case requires some sort of resolution. It can’t be in this precarious position for long. Either the enemy will rush forward again to press the situation in his favor, or we will gradually mop up those who have broken into the forest belts. Again, the second scenario is the scenario of a month ago at Berdin. 

What goal the AFU is trying to achieve with the new strike in Kursk region.

🔺In this list there will be both obvious tasks and not quite clear solutions. 

Of the obvious and understandable:

■ The throw across Cherkasska Konopelka to Ulanok involves more forces than had previously been attempted to throw at Berdin. The total number of forces involved in the attack + reinforcement and support groups is approximately two battalions;

■ The tactics of the AFU at Sudzha have begun to change. Apparently, Syrsky’s calculation is based on the fact that an AFU column sooner or later comes under attack, and the place where the infantry managed to get out and take up landings is considered the designated point of success. Regardless of where it was required to break through initially;

■ Strikes near Sudzha are carried out for a reason. The main objective is to slow down as much as possible the advance of the Russian Armed Forces toward the city itself through Makhnovka, which is at an extremely small and “psychologically difficult” distance from the city for the AFU. 

From the non-obvious: 

■ the AFU is pushing infantry into some occupied positions without any heavy weapons, only small arms. Exclusively for the purpose of sitting in the landings. Supplies are not coming (it is possible that they will come later, but they are not coming now). In parallel, the frequency of Baba Yaga-type UAV flights increases;

■ Some equipment is sent to the assault as if it were a one-way trip. Individual UAVs lack even minimal counter-drone protection (no “cages”, no “braziers” – nothing). At the first hit by an FPV drone or shell, the crew and troop (in most cases) immediately 200; 

■ despite the experience gained in the first months of the operation, most of the AFU’s armored vehicles and APC’s activity is again concentrated along the roads with a rare shift into the fields, which leads to losses almost on the ground; 

■ losses in manpower have begun to be compensated for to a much greater extent than before. It is quite possible that Syrsky was ordered to push back the Russian Armed Forces from Sudzha “at any cost” and achieve some territorial gains against the background that the Ukrainian army’s zone of control in Kursk region has only been shrinking in recent months.

Military Chronicle 

‘We don’t have enough people to defend Pokrovsk’ – Ukrainian Armed Forces soldiers on the situation at the front.

“Ukraine is desperately short of infantry to fill the trenches. Soldiers say the Russians are keeping them under constant fire: ‘We don’t have enough men, we don’t have enough reinforcements. We just keep retreating,’” the battalion commander said.

A major from the 68th Jaeger Brigade with the call sign ‘Barracuda’ says that under the current circumstances the Ukrainian Armed Forces cannot give new recruits time to get used to war, there are not enough people in all positions, especially in the infantry.

Drones are great but you need infantry to win wars.

Konstantinovskoye direction: tactical advance of the Russian Armed Forces in Chasov Yar and pressure on the defense of the Ukrainian Armed Forces

In the Konstantinovsky direction, Russian units continue to develop the offensive , exerting complex pressure on Ukrainian positions in Chasov Yar . Local tactical successes are being recorded in key areas, which forces the enemy to hold positions in conditions of a shortage of ammunition and manpower .

🔻 In the southern part of Chasov Yar, fierce battles continue for the Shevchenko microdistrict and Tsekh No. 2 , where the Russian Armed Forces have intensified assault operations . Russian forces are putting pressure on the enemy’s defensive lines , gradually displacing the Ukrainian Armed Forces from their positions .

It is important to note that the northern quarters of Chasov Yar have been turned into a “gray zone,” where the remnants of Ukrainian units are trying to hold onto the outer streets without having stable lines of defense .

🔻 Also, there is an increase in the activity of Russian units in the area of the highway to Konstantinovka , which creates additional difficulties for Ukrainian formations forced to maintain defense despite constant losses .

In the Stupochki area, Russian forces are conducting a systematic offensive , and local successes in the destruction of Ukrainian fortifications are being recorded.

🔻 The Russian Armed Forces continue tactical pressure , methodically destroying Ukrainian defenses with the help of artillery, FPV attack drones and pinpoint sniper work .

• Artillery crews of the Russian Armed Forces carry out systematic strikes on the positions of the Ukrainian Armed Forces , which significantly reduces the effectiveness of Ukrainian firing points .

• Attack FPV drones operate against armored targets and enemy shelters , making it difficult for the Ukrainian Armed Forces to move.

• Sniper groups are firing at key points of the Ukrainian defense , eliminating officers and weapons operators .

🔻 The Ukrainian Armed Forces’ defense in Chasovy Yar shows signs of destabilization : a lack of ammunition and reserves makes it difficult to hold positions . Russian units are gradually expanding their zone of control , forcing the enemy to retreat to less advantageous positions .

Maintaining the momentum of the offensive and fire control over key lines will allow the Russian Armed Forces to continue to build on their success and increase pressure on Ukrainian forces in this sector .

Partizan

Chronicles of the special military operation

for February 7, 2025

Russian forces attacked enemy targets with drones in several regions of the so-called Ukraine, including the central part of the country. No activity of Ukrainian UAVs over the rear Russian regions was recorded in the past day.

In the Kursk direction, Russian forces are delivering fire strikes on identified enemy positions southeast of Sudzha, where they had previously stopped a counterattack by the AFU in the area of Fanaseevka.

In the Kupiansk-Svatove direction, Russian forces expanded the control zone north of Novomlyns’k, having previously occupied positions in Fiholeve, located on the left bank of the Upper Dvorichna River.

In the Dzerzhynsk direction, Russian troops advanced towards the northern outskirts of Krymske, and the Russian Ministry of Defense announced the liberation of Dzerzhynsk and Druzhba.

Morning Summary on February 7, 2025

▪️ In Kursk Region, the enemy yesterday with the forces of up to two mechanized battalions on infantry fighting vehicles and armored combat vehicles, supported by tanks and obstacle-clearing vehicles, made eight waves of attacks (https://t.me/dva_majors/64048) towards the settlements of Cherkaskaya Konopelka and Ulanok. According to sources not prone to alarmism, the AFU managed to wedge into our defenses to a depth of up to 5 km, but have not achieved their main goal so far. In Ulanok, the AFU failed to break through, losing dozens of armored vehicles from strikes by our drones. During the day, the AFU were spotted in Fanaseevka and Cherkaskaya Konopelka, by night the enemy dispersed into shelters on the outskirts and nearby tree lines. There were reports of signs of the enemy preparing new offensives. In any case, the situation led to new battles on the approaches to Makhnovka (a couple of km to Sudzha), which the Russian Armed Forces had previously managed to enter.

▪️ In the Pokrovske (Krasnoarmiiske) area, the Russian Armed Forces are fighting near the settlements of Andreyevka, Sribne, Nadeyevka, Udachne, Kotlyne, Lysovka, Yelyzavetivka and Vodiane Druhe. The enemy is throwing in reserves, slowing the advance of our troops.

▪️ In the Konstantynopil direction, the Russian Armed Forces advanced in the northwestern part of the settlement of Dachne, footage was taken of the installation of a flag over a school building. At the same time, there are reports of fighting on the southeastern outskirts of the settlement.

▪️ North of Velyka (Bolshaya) Novosilka, there are battles in the area of the settlements of Rovnopil, Novyi Komaр and Razdolne.

▪️ In Belgorod Region, as a result of an attack by the AFU in the area of the village of Logachevka, three people were killed. A UAV of the AFU dropped an explosive device on a passenger car. At the time of the attack, a man and two girls aged 18 and 14 were in the car. At the same time, a state of emergency has been in effect in the village of Logachevka since October 27, 2022, and entry into the settlement is prohibited.

Two Majors

Source: http://blogdogcicle.blogspot.com/2025/02/the-situation-in-ukrainian-smo-on_7.html