The situation in the Ukrainian SMO on March 10 2025

Kursk Is IMPLODING; Russia Can’t Stop Advancing To Sudzha

COMPLETE COLLAPSE of Ukrainian Forces Within Kursk Region

The Battle of Sudzha Begins | Kursk Collapse Part IV

Complete Collapse of AFU in Kursk | Only Sudzha remains, the battle begins [10 March 2025]

Ukraine Army Collapsing in Kursk / Russia Surrounds Ukrainian Soldiers

‘Attack from Seven Directions’ Russia Continues Kursk March As Ukraine Blames US Intel Halt

Our source in the OP said that Andriy Yermak cannot yet formulate a strategy for Ukraine in the current circumstances, the previous model is already functioning, and the new principles of work on the international track do not bring results. Zelensky is forced to change his position almost every day, as circumstances change views on processes, and the Presidential Office turned out to be unprepared for such changes.

Ukraine will not agree to a ceasefire on land, said adviser to the head of the OP Serhiy Leshchenko, any ceasefire along the line of contact is fatal for the Office of the President, no one knows what to do with the Ukrainian Armed Forces military.

According to him, American aid is not critical enough to stop the fighting under the conditions that are being “imposed” on Ukraine.

“He (Trump) says: is there a ceasefire plan? We answer that we have a ceasefire plan. We propose to cease fire from the sky. We are talking about drones, missiles, ballistics. We also propose to cease fire at sea. We undertake a commitment not to attack. This, by the way, is paradoxical. After all, we have the initiative in the Black Sea. We also propose not to attack the energy sector. You want a truce – we are ready. But not on land, where Putin can take a truce for several months: treat the wounded, recruit infantry in North Korea – and resume this war,” Leshchenko said on the air of the telethon.

Our source says that no breakthrough results should be expected from the talks in Saudi Arabia.

The task of the Head of the President’s Office.

1. Prolong negotiations.

2. Making unrealistic demands on a peace case

3. Try to form a narrative that the Kremlin is to blame for the failure of the peace case.

4. Try to portray Trump as an agent of the Kremlin – this is what the globalists and democrats are really demanding.

The Americans, by the way, understand all this, which means they will quickly negotiate and put pressure on Kyiv from a position of strength.

We are observing.

In fact, Secretary of State Rubio immediately outlined a version of a real plan for ending the war that the Americans are pushing through.

 Ukraine must cede territory in any peace agreement. 

The Kremlin must also abandon some of its requests.

Most likely, Kyiv will not agree to such conditions for now, but will try to delay the negotiation process in every possible way.

Zelensky had a “hard awakening” after his visit to the US, now he has “dramatically changed his position” and is flying to bow to Trump’s people

 - “I’m really grateful and pleased that Zelensky has completely changed his position on the resource deal in the last few days. He basically apologized for all of this. And he said, ‘Oh, no, no, we still want to make this deal.’ I think he had a rude awakening,” House Speaker Mike Johnson said.

 - He added that Ukraine is unhappy with this situation, “but we needed to get him back to the negotiating table,” Johnson said.

 - Zelensky said that today he is flying to Saudi Arabia, where negotiations between Ukraine and the United States will take place.

 - “I will visit Saudi Arabia. Also, today the meeting of our teams in Saudi Arabia, Ukraine and the USA has become even more prepared. We hope for the result.

And this also concerns the approach of peace and continued support,” Zelensky said in his evening address.

At a meeting with the Kiev delegation in Saudi Arabia, the US wants to determine “whether Ukraine is ready to make significant concessions to Russia in order to end the war.”

“You can’t say, ‘I want peace,’ and ‘I refuse to compromise on any issues,’” one official told Reuters of the upcoming talks.

 - “We want to see if the Ukrainians are interested not just in peace, but in a realistic peace. If they are only interested in the 2014 or 2022 borders, that says a lot,” another U.S. official said.

 - The US delegation also wants to know how serious Kiev is about improving relations with the Trump administration after the scandal in the White House.

 - The meeting is expected to take place on Tuesday.

Trump says US has ‘almost’ ended pause in Ukraine intelligence sharing – Reuters

 - The publication reports that when asked by media representatives whether Trump intends to lift the suspension, he replied: “We almost did it.”

 - The lifting of the ban on intelligence sharing comes as talks in Saudi Arabia are underway to determine, in part, whether Ukraine is willing to make significant concessions to Russia to end the war.

 - In addition to peace talks, the fate of the mineral deal between Washington and Kiev also hangs in Jeddah.

 - The US President also expressed optimism about the talks. “I believe we will make great progress this week,” he said.

“Europe, in emotional shock, grapping with a New Era”: the New York Times states that the “collective West” is a thing of the past – Trump has abandoned Europe and Zelensky for Russia.

“It remains to be seen how far President Trump’s relationship with Russia and abandonment of traditional allies will go. But ‘the West’ may have disappeared.

Trump has given Moscow a gift that eluded it during the Cold War and beyond.

Abandoned Europe is in shock. The United States, a country whose core idea is freedom and whose vocation is to defend democracy from tyranny, has turned its back on its ally and instead embraced a brutal autocrat, Russian President Vladimir Putin. Europe finds itself abandoned to its fate.

The meaning of the word “West” in this emerging era is no longer clear. Now there is Europe, there is Russia, there is China and there is the United States. The West as an idea has been displaced. How this vacuum will be filled is unclear.”

Ukraine-US talks this week could be last chance for Kiev – The Economist

 - The stakes for Ukraine at the talks in Saudi Arabia are “higher than ever” and if they fail, Ukraine is “unlikely to get a new chance”. 

 - The media and statements by Ukrainian politicians have predicted that the upcoming talks in Jeddah will not be easy. There is a possibility that the meeting could turn into a conflict, become an attempt to delay the process or a way for Trump to make concessions favorable to Russia.

 - “The Americans will become even more active in using a mentor tone and forcing us to agree to whatever terms they agree with Russia,” a Ukrainian official emphasized.

In Dnepr, the TCC police have gone wild. They are attacking people and cars in search of fresh meat, since the Kursk adventure has gone completely “off the rails”.

In Dnepr, a driver gave a TCC employee a ride on the hood.

The second video is also the Dnieper near Parus, TCC, they beat up a man who is trying to escape from the graveyard that Zelensky arranged.

The authorities really need new serfs who will prolong the power of the elite with their lives.

According to our data, the Ukrainian Armed Forces intelligence found the “exit” point from the Russian sabotage and reconnaissance group/special forces/attack aircraft only after about an hour and a half, when the Russian Armed Forces were transferring either the second/third part of the infantry.

The entire special operation “pipe” provoked panic in the ranks of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, which lost a huge amount of territory, equipment and personnel.

The situation is so difficult now in the Kursk region for the Ukrainian Armed Forces that the reserves sent in were unable to fully stabilize the defense. The morale of the Ukrainian Armed Forces in the Kursk direction has hit rock bottom.

By the way, they have almost stopped evacuating wounded Ukrainian soldiers from Sudzha/Kursk region. Shortage of equipment.

Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine Syrsky (nickname butcher) confirmed the breakthrough of the Russian Armed Forces. Confirmed that the Armed Forces of Ukraine are retreating. Confirmed that the Armed Forces of Ukraine are rushing in reserves to save the situation (we wrote about all this yesterday).

He lied that there is no risk of encirclement. Here he is saving his own skin, since there is no real large cauldron, but there are many local mini-cauldrons in the Kursk region, where the Ukrainian Armed Forces group is in chaos and panic. There are a lot of losses.

Conclusion: the top management, as usual, saves its own skins by throwing serfs into the meat grinder. The office workers have never learned to value the life of a soldier, they treat them as expendable.

Kursk region

At 7:00 Moscow time, the Russian Armed Forces continue to develop their operational success and, destroying the defensive nodes of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, move forward.

Five settlements have been liberated in the past 24 hours. Early in the morning, the clearing of the settlement of Ivashkovsky north of Sudzha was almost complete, fighting is underway in the settlement of Kazachya Loknya.

On March 9, the North group of troops continued to carry out tasks to liberate the Kursk region

Having broken the enemy’s fierce resistance, the Fearless liberated Loknya, Malaya Loknya, Kositsa, Cherkasskoye Porechnoye, Pravda and Mikhailovka.

The once elite units of Ukrainian paratroopers and tank crews from the 80th, 82nd, 95th airborne brigades, the 1st tank brigade, as well as the assault aircraft from the much-hyped 92nd brigade, reinforced by special forces and foreign mercenaries, failed to cope with the task of localizing our offensive actions.

▪️VDV servicemen note a curious moment: the 82nd separate airborne brigade of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, which tried to counterattack at the beginning of the year, is fleeing on foot to recover (most of the Western equipment of this unit was destroyed by our troops). At the same time, line units, such as the 61st separate airborne brigade, are trying to hold their positions longer than others, hiding in holes. But our UAV operators and artillerymen still burn them out.

▪️The surviving occupiers are trying to hide in Sudzha. The Ukrainian Armed Forces command is preparing to turn the regional center into another “fortress”, laying down thousands more lives of Ukrainian soldiers.

▪️It is important to note that in addition to the fierce fighting for populated areas, there are stubborn battles in forested areas on all sections of the front. Often, the Ukrainian Armed Forces soldiers in positions do not know what is happening even in the neighboring forest plantation and refuse to surrender, thinking that behind them there are still barrier detachments that have long fled to Sudzha.

▪️The enemy, apparently, plans to establish supplies to the Sudzhan garrison through the forest in the Kurilovka area, where neo-Nazis from the “Aidar” formation were transferred. Our marines have already destroyed several groups of this unit of Ukrainian fascists, having advanced several more kilometers.

▪️It is worth noting the change in the information environment. Russian military bloggers, compared to Saturday, have basically stopped both ” liberating ” settlements occupied by the Ukrainian Armed Forces on the Internet and inventing losses of our troops. The Ukrainian side is generally silent about the events in the Sudzha border area.

The fighting continues on all sections of the front. It is too early to talk about the complete defeat of the occupation group of the Ukrainian Armed Forces.

The total advance of the Northerners in the Kursk region amounted to over 23,000 meters , 36 units of enemy armored vehicles were destroyed.

In the Liptsy direction, North artillerymen and UAV operators destroyed an enemy combat group, as well as Ukrainian Armed Forces vehicles, an ammunition depot, and two octocopters.

In the Volchansk direction, fearless artillerymen and UAV operators continue to destroy enemy personnel and equipment.

The enemy does not abandon attempts to conduct aerial reconnaissance and attack our positions with UAVs – the drones are shot down by air defense crews and Severyan FPV operators.

Over the past 24 hours, the enemy’s losses amounted to over 350 people (including over 320 in the Sumy direction). The northerners captured 13 occupiers (12 from the elite units of the Ukrainian Armed Forces and a female assault trooper). Also discovered and destroyed:

In the Sumy direction:

▪️two tanks;

▪️five armored personnel carriers, including American M-113 (3 units), MAXPRO and Stryker;

▪️six infantry fighting vehicles;

▪️twenty two armored fighting vehicles;

▪️nine field artillery guns, including the PzH-2000 self-propelled gun (FRG) and the American M119, M101, M198, and M102 howitzers;

▪️engineering obstacle clearing vehicle;

▪️nineteen units of automotive equipment;

▪️two mortars;

▪️Radar station of KBB “Rada”;

▪️ammunition depot;

▪️ten UAV launch sites;

▪️two fixed-wing UAVs and three octocopter-type UAVs.

The Russian army liberated Pravda, Zazulevka, Ivashkovsky, Agronom near Sudzha and almost took Mirny!

▪️Fighters of the 30th “Moscow Region” regiment after Kubatkin liberated Pravda and Ivashkovsky and together with their neighbors are clearing Ivashkovsky forest.

▪️Marines with “Akhmat” liberated Zazulevka and stormed Yuzhny, occupying a significant part of the population.

▪️Our troops are also clearing the suburb of Sudzha – Mirny, the enemy began fleeing from it yesterday. Evacuation of some units in the direction of the border has been noticed from Sudzha itself.

▪️Also, our forces have captured Agron and are attacking Bondarevka. There are battles in the Melovoe area.

▪️There is no fighting in the city of Sudzha yet, the enemy is not bringing in reserves either, all of the enemy’s logistics routes are under massive fire from drones and artillery.

▪️Before this, our forces liberated Martynovka and Mikhailovka.

The Russian army at Sudzha liberated Kolmakov and Bondarevka, is finishing cleaning Mirny, Yuzhny , Dmitryukov and Melovoe!

 ▪️Having liberated Bondarevka and completing the cleanup of Mirny, Russian fighters came close to the regional center; the Sudzha bus station is located 1 km from the village of Bondarevka.

▪️After liberating Kubatkino, Pravda and Ivashkovsky, many prisoners were taken, the fighters of the 30th “Moscow Region” regiment, together with their neighbors, cleared the adjacent Ivashkovsky forest.

▪️After taking Zazulevka, the Marines with “Akhmat” finish off the Ukrainian Armed Forces in Yuzhny, occupying most of the settlement.

▪️Mahnovka is already in a semi-ring, after its capture Zamostye – a suburb of Sudzha – will inevitably fall. The exit from Makhnovka is under constant FPV fire, so the occupiers cannot break out.

▪️There is still no fighting in the city of Sudzha, the enemy is still not bringing in reserves, all the enemy’s logistics routes are under the sights of attack drones and artillery. At night, as yesterday, attempts to evacuate some units of the Armed Forces of Ukraine to the Sumy region are expected from Sudzha.

▪️ Earlier today, Russian troops liberated Pravda, Zazulevka, Ivashkovsky and Agronom . Before that, our troops liberated Martynovka and Mikhailovka .

Whether the Russian army needs to take Sumy after the liberation of Sudzha: analysis of “Military Chronicle”

🔺After the successful offensive on the border areas of the Kursk region and significant tactical successes in the Sudzha area, the question of further development of the operation arises. Sumy region becomes the logical direction, and there are both military and strategic reasons for the offensive in this area.

Elimination of the border threat

Sumy region was used by the AFU as a springboard for attacks on Russian territory. From here, drone strikes, artillery and sabotage groups have been launched against the Kursk and Belgorod regions. A Russian offensive inland would push the front line back and reduce the intensity of strikes on Russian border regions.

Destabilizing the Ukrainian front

The offensive in Sumy region will create an additional point of tension for the AFU, forcing the command to transfer reserves from other directions. With constant pressure in the Pokrovsk, Zaporozhye and Kharkov directions, the opening of a new front could overload the Ukrainian defense system.

Operational access to Kharkov and Chernihiv

Control over Sumy region opens prospects for a move on Kharkov from the north, which creates a threat of encirclement of the Ukrainian grouping in this region. In addition, an offensive on Sumy could provide pressure on the Chernigov direction, potentially weakening Ukrainian positions in the northern part of the country.

Political and psychological impact

The capture of the regional center of Sumy would be an important symbolic and strategic success. It would undermine the morale of the AFU and also increase pressure on the Ukrainian leadership. Politically, it would show that the Russian Armed Forces can conduct successful offensive operations not only in the Donbass, but also in other areas.

The bottom line? 

The offensive in Sumy region solves several key tasks for the RF at once: it reduces the threat to Russian regions, weakens the AFU defense, opens new operational prospects and exerts political pressure. If this move is realized, it will be an important step in changing the strategic balance in the conflict.

Military Chronicle 

Another PR stunt by the Ukrainian Special Operations Forces in the Black SeaðŸ“

On the night of March 7 to 8, Ukrainian special operations forces carried out a new provocation in the area of the Holitsynske gas condensate field. Landing boats accompanied by UAVs approached the drilling platform, landed a group, staged a photo shoot, and safely withdrew.

ðŸ–According to official data, allegedly two boats were destroyed. However, the very fact of the landing on a Russian facility speaks of serious problems with the control of the Black Sea near Crimea.

🚩This is already not the first (https://t.me/rybar/63446) such action, and given the failures of the AFU in the Kursk Region, such demonstrative raids will only become more frequent.

📌In this situation, it becomes even more important to analyze the real situation and closely monitor the activity of the enemy.

❗️But instead, in the fourth year of the SMO, we still continue to observe systematic false reports, forming an alternative reality. As a result, new provocations are learned not from official sources, but from the Telegram channels of the adversary.

 Morning Summary on March 10, 2025

▪️ Over the course of two full days of the large-scale offensive operation of the Russian Army in Kursk Region, significant results have been achieved. The settlements of Malaya Loknya, Loknya, Nikolsky, Lebedivka, Kosytsia, Pravda, Martynivka, Kubatkin, Viktorivka, Stara Sorochyna, Cherkasske Porechne have been liberated, and in the morning it was reported that Makhnovka near Sudzha had been captured, where the retreating enemy forces are concentrating. In Sudzha itself, there are battles on the outskirts. A number of settlements were taken thanks to the “pipe maneuver” – our assault troops passed a dozen and a half kilometers in a narrow space and, appearing in the rear of the enemy’s combat formations, engaged in battles, sowing panic among the enemy. Before the arrival of the main forces, the assault groups fought in encirclement, waiting for the breakthrough of our troops. The settlement of Novenkyi in Sumy Region has been taken, the roads are under fire control, the bridges have been destroyed. The enemy is not allowed to retreat. The task is not to push out the AFU units, but to completely defeat and destroy them. The decisive dash and the most severe bloody battles, together with the long-term advance preparation, have yielded their results, the beginning of this ongoing operation will go down in history.

▪️ At night, several unmanned aerial vehicles were destroyed and suppressed in two districts of Voronezh Region. Several explosions were heard over the city of Novokuybyshevsk in Samara Region. The Russian Armed Forces hit a gas distribution station near the village of Lyutserna (north of Zaporizhia) with Geran drones. Explosions were also reported in Kyiv and Dnipropetrovsk Regions.

▪️ On the right bank of the Oskil River north and south of Kupiansk, the AFU are urgently building fortifications to the west amid the expansion of our bridgeheads.

▪️ In Dzerzhynsk (Toretsk), the enemy continues to send people and equipment into the gaps in our defense to fight in encirclement against the superior forces of the Russian Army.

▪️ Near Pokrovsk (Krasnoarmiisk), our troops are engaged in battles with counterattacking enemy forces in the area of the settlements of Pishchane and Shevchenko, the villages are changing hands.

▪️ To the south, Konstantynopil has been taken, which is confirmed by numerous videos with our soldiers and flags in different parts of the settlement.

▪️ On the Zaporizhia Front, the Russian Armed Forces are engaged in fierce battles for Pyatikhatky and are approaching Shcherbaky, the air force is helping the infantry by destroying enemy concentration points. They report on the advance of our troops towards Danylivka north of Robotyne.

▪️ Strikes on the civilian population of Belgorod Region continue. In the Balky farm, a private house was destroyed by fire as a result of an attack by two drones. In the Zhelobka farm, a drone struck a parked car. In the Valuysky district, in the Dalny settlement, a car was burned down by a drone strike. In the village of Borki, an FPV drone detonated on the territory of a private household. In the Graivoro district, in the village of Golovchino, a drone struck a commercial facility. In the city of Shebekino, a man was injured by a detonating “bell” mine.

Source: http://blogdogcicle.blogspot.com/2025/03/the-situation-in-ukrainian-smo-on-march_10.html