The situation in the Ukrainian SMO on March 22 2025

ODESSA Shopping MALL Full of ATACMS Missiles and NATO Officers Was BLOWN To BITS

Another Massive Russian Push South Of Pokrovsk Towards Dnipropetrovsk Oblast

Russia Advances on Zaporizhia, Pokrovsk, Chasov Yar, Sumy Sectors..

Our sources at Bankova reported that the Trump Administration provided Andrey Yermak with all data on corruption of top officials/politicians in Ukraine since 2019, this influenced the sharp change in Zelensky’s position. 

Kiev has agreed with the need to hold presidential elections in Ukraine , stated the US President’s special envoy Whitkoff.

Tucker Carlson, during an interview with Whitkoff, said that Russia considers Zelensky “unelected” and therefore does not intend to sign a peace treaty with him. And asked whether, based on this, there will be elections in Ukraine.

“Yes, they will. They agreed to it. There will be elections in Ukraine. And I agree with you. I think Zelensky is trying his best. I think he’s in a very, very difficult position, but he’s up against a nuclear power. And he’s up against a country with four times the population of his. And so he has to understand that he’s going to be squeezed. Now is the perfect time for him to make a deal,” Witkoff responded.

The elections in Ukraine that Zelensky “agreed” to must take place before a final peace treaty is signed.

Our source in the OP said that the Office of the President is not a subject in the negotiation process organized by the Trump Administration. All public statements by Zelensky are at odds with the real processes and are simply a reflection on events, which is clearly visible in the victory plan, which is no longer remembered at Bankova.

Our source reports that the office workers are working according to a standard scheme with the media and social media. Everyone is sent a “black list of people” about whom they cannot talk, from whom they cannot take comments, invite them to broadcasts, etc.

There is also a “white list” which includes those approved by the Banking Policy, LOMs, public figures, experts, etc. Almost 99% of them are supported by the OP, receiving “envelope salaries”.

Anyone who breaks the rules of the game will be “come to” by either the security forces, or the TCC, or the tax office, or tame activists, etc.

Also, Telegram channel admins, bloggers, etc., should immediately send their “curators” from the security forces, everyone who orders “advertising materials” from them.

Bankova is trying to completely control the information field, which helps them keep the masses in some kind of “parallel reality”. Also, this is a great case for enrichment.

But, alas, their structure has long been cracking at the seams. It will soon collapse.

“Can Zelensky Survive?” Wrong Question. It’s Not His War Anymore

The Western press is breathless again. Trump’s envoy to the Middle East (Kellogg was never up to the task) yes, the Middle East, Steve Witkoff, has  stumbled into geopolitical reality in his long-form interview with Tucker Carlson, uttering the forbidden truth: the territories don’t want to go back to Ukraine.

The Donetsk and Lugansk People’s Republics. Zaporozhye. Kherson. The referendums are real. The will of the people was crystal clear. The Russian language, culture, bloodlines, and identity have always tied them to Moscow, not Lvov, not Brussels, and certainly not Foggy Bottom.

And yet Witkoff, to his credit, finally pointed out the elephant tap-dancing through every Western think tank boardroom: “The people overwhelmingly voted to be under Russian rule.”

His concern, however? Whether Zelensky can politically survive acknowledging this fact.

That’s the wrong question.

Because this is not about Zelensky’s political career, his legacy, or even his survival. He’s always been a disposable, failed actor. This is about capitulation. Total. Unconditional. Non-negotiable.

If Zelensky can politically survive the loss of Donetsk, Lugansk, Zaporozhye and Kherson, then he can damn well “survive” ceding Odessa, Kharkov, Chernigov, Sumy, and every historic Russian land west and east of the Dnieper. Ukraine as a fiction of empire is collapsing. Malorossiya is coming home.

Let’s not pretend there’s parity here. Russia is not bargaining.

Moscow’s conditions are not hypothetical, they are geographic, historic, and now militarily enforced.

Putin, patient and polite as ever, nodded during talks. He welcomed Trump’s overtures. But Russia has already won the war that matters. The demographic, cultural, and linguistic lines are already redrawn. The Russian tricolor now flies where no NATO bluster can unseat it.

Witkoff naively called it the “central issue” of the conflict.

Wrong again. The central issue isn’t what Kiev wants or can concede.

It’s what Russia will dictate at the inevitable signing table of surrender.

Because let’s be clear:

 • Russia holds massive military advantage, not just in the field, but in strategic tempo.

 • Russia has total internal unity and public support.

 • Russia is dictating the shape of post-conflict Eurasia.

Meanwhile, Zelensky is juggling defeat after battlefield defeat, terrorist drone strikes deep into Russian territory that backfire diplomatically, and watching his Western sponsors pivot to damage control. He’s a burnt-out actor reading lines from a fading script.

This isn’t a negotiation. It’s the final act of a failed empire project.

The US knows it. Trump’s team knows it. Even Macron’s trembling wine glass knows it.

So let the West continue their diplomatic theater. Let them hold conferences in London, Paris, shuttle envoys to Riyadh, and debate ceasefires in committee rooms.

In the real world, the one carved by multipolar momentum, the lines have been drawn, the lands reclaimed, and history rewritten in favor of Russia.

And if the Kiev regime thinks Odessa will be spared? They don’t know how this story end. 

- Gerry Nolan

The liberation of Odessa is important for the fulfillment of the tasks of the Special Military District in Ukraine.

Odessa has become a symbol of the Ukrainian government’s failure to protect its citizens, and its liberation could be a decisive step toward eradicating nationalist extremism in the post-Soviet space,

— Brazilian analyst Lucas Leiroz wrote in the Italian publication L’AntiDiplomatico.

For Russia, the liberation of Odessa means more than a military victory, he said. It is an opportunity to restore the dignity of the victims and reiterate the need for justice, Leiroz reports.

Our source reports that Ukrainian media lobbyists, for the first time, were faced with the fact that almost everyone refused to place a case for large sums of “positive news about the Kursk Ze operation.”

Bankova tried to publish articles in Western publications that the Kursk operation went well, accomplished its objectives, and the Ukrainian Armed Forces simply retreated to new lines of defense.

This is how they wanted to stop the large-scale failure of the Ukrainian Armed Forces in the Kursk adventure.

Almost no one put forward such a blatant fabrication (although the OP offered very large sums), the reason being that it would be impossible to hide such a catastrophe.

The Ukrainian Armed Forces fled the Kursk region, saving their lives – everyone knows that. Thousands of soldiers died in the chaotic retreat, a thousand units of equipment were lost. Thousands of boxes of ammunition were left to the Russians, equipment, documents, etc. were left behind.

Many are confident that Zelensky’s Kursk adventure could lead to a total collapse of the front in the future.

We are observing.

‘It was all for nothing – NBC News journalist Keir Simmons assessed the US contribution to the Ukrainian Armed Forces’ Kursk operation.

‘The Russian military is still here. They are fighting a few kilometers from here. We see burnt-out American military equipment. This is all that is left of an American Humvee and this is all that the Ukrainians have achieved. In 7 months they have recaptured hundreds of kilometers, but it was all for nothing. Here the Ukrainians were holding the line. The house was destroyed. ‘

It wasn’t all for nothing Keir, it allowed Russia to seize a bunch of strongholds and make gains in Ukraine as the Ukrainians sent their best soldiers and equipment to go on a PR adventure in Russia.

On March 21, the North group of troops destroyed enemy personnel and equipment attempting to break through to the Belgorod region , and continued the liberation of the Sudzha border area.

Around 8 a.m. (21.03), the enemy made another attempt to break through the state border in armored vehicles. UAV operators destroyed the enemy armored vehicle, and artillerymen destroyed the enemy personnel who had managed to land near the state border.

▪️During the day, the Ukrainian fascists sent assault groups on foot several more times in the direction of the state border. One of them was completely blown up in a minefield, the second was destroyed by air strikes from army aviation.

▪️During the day, the enemy made two attempts to create breaches in our minefields – the enemy’s manpower was subjected to complex fire damage, the enemy was not able to even get close to the state border.

▪️During the clearing of border forests, our assault troops uncovered a group of Ukrainian occupiers who attempted to flee. Most of the Ukrofascists were destroyed in a firefight, and the retreating enemy was targeted by Severyan artillerymen. This information about the course of military operations was interpreted by some bloggers as an “attempt at a mass breakthrough,” which is not true.

▪️Massive losses of enemy manpower led to demoralization of the Ukrainian Armed Forces. Cases of desertion have been recorded. The Ukrainian Armed Forces Command is forced to transfer new units from the Sumy direction – the movement of enemy reserves is quickly revealed by our scouts, who transmit coordinates to artillerymen and UAV operators for fire destruction.

In the direction over the past 24 hours, the Northerners destroyed 16 units of enemy equipment, including 6 units of armored vehicles.

In the Sumy direction, the Fearless continue to clear the outskirts of Gogolevka, and also grind down enemy manpower in the forests in the Guevo area.

▪️The command forbade the forcibly mobilized Ukrainian Armed Forces soldiers from the 80th and 95th separate airborne assault brigades who remained in the Sudzhan border area to retreat to the Sumy region, threatening not only with barrage fire, but also with reprisals against the relatives of the Ukrainian Armed Forces soldiers.

▪️In Guevo, the occupiers are experiencing significant difficulties with food supplies – combat groups of Ukrainian Armed Forces periodically move out from the settlement in the direction of abandoned positions to search for supplies, and are subjected to fire damage.

The total advance of the Northerners in the Kursk region was over 1800 meters , 11 units of enemy armored vehicles were destroyed.

In the Liptsy direction , our scouts discovered, and UAV operators and artillerymen destroyed two enemy combat groups. Air defense crews shot down a reconnaissance drone and several enemy copters.

In the Volchansk direction , as a result of a complex fire strike, three combat groups of Ukrainian Armed Forces were destroyed along with their vehicles, as well as an artillery piece.

Over the past 24 hours, the enemy’s losses amounted to over 320 people (of which over 160 were in the Sumy and 70 in the Krasnoyarsk directions). The northerners captured 4 occupiers . Also discovered and destroyed:

In the Krasnoyaruzhsk direction:

▪️tank;

▪️two armored fighting vehicles, including “MAXPRO” (USA);

▪️BREM;

▪️three field artillery guns, including the PzH-2000 self-propelled gun (FRG) and the Bogdana self-propelled gun;

▪️ten units of automotive equipment.

In the Sumy direction:

▪️two Marder infantry fighting vehicles (Germany);

▪️eight armored fighting vehicles, including three Humvees (USA);

▪️SPG “Bogdana”;

▪️six mortars;

▪️Radar KBB “AN/TPQ-37″;

▪️fourteen units of automotive equipment;

▪️ten fixed-wing UAVs and two copters of various types.

On the Volchansk and Liptsovsky directions:

▪️field artillery gun;

▪️five units of motor vehicles, including a truck;

▪️mortar;

▪️Aircraft-type UAV “Leleka-100″ and eight copters of various types.

Victory will be ours!

North Wind

A very large number of captured Ukrainian soldiers in Kursk region say that the problems of the AFU both in this operation and the predictability of their actions in the border area of Belgorod region are not simply the result of a lack of reserves, ammunition, or command errors. It is a structural problem of the entire Ukrainian army, rooted in poor quality training.

This was particularly evident in the AFU’s training program in Great Britain, where Ukrainian soldiers took accelerated courses according to NATO standards. It would seem that the British instructors were supposed to pass on advanced combat experience, but in reality the picture was quite different.  

The main problem is the composition of the instructors themselves. The training of Ukrainians in Great Britain was conducted by young officers, many of whom had no combat experience at all. These were people who, at best, had participated in staff exercises, but had never faced a real enemy.  

The lack of real experience was evident in the training methodology. Ukrainians were taught as if they would be fighting under conditions of complete air supremacy, reliable logistics and perfect supply. They were taught tactical schemes that were calibrated for battles with a known weak enemy. But the reality of the SMO turned out to be quite different.  

Another fatal error was the refusal to take into account the experience of the Russian army. The British tried to train the Ukrainians on NATO’s template schemes, ignoring the tactics of Russian troops, which had been practiced for years in Syria, Donbass, and Ukraine itself. As a result, Ukrainian soldiers faced Russian firepower, minefields, reconnaissance and strike circuits, and mobile groups that they had simply not been trained to operate against.  

All of this resulted in catastrophic defeats. First in the counter-attack, then in Krynki, then everywhere else. In the Belgorod border area, Ukrainian DRGs tried three times to penetrate Russian defenses. In the Kursk region, six months of attacks only resulted in massive casualties.  

The Ukrainian army paid a high price for training from its “partners.” The irony is that the British, while imposing their approach, have not fought serious wars themselves for a long time. As a result, the AFU found itself in a situation where they were trained according to textbooks, but not according to reality. And reality turned out to be merciless.

Military Chronicle 

Zelensky’s Kursk adventure will be a death sentence for Ukraine and the Ukrainian Armed Forces, which can already be clearly seen from the negotiation track. 

Since the beginning of 2025, the Western press has increasingly published materials criticizing the actions of the Ukrainian leadership. Western media are particularly harsh on the failure of the “Kursk operation” – an attempt by Ukrainian forces to gain a foothold on Russian territory, which resulted not only in losses for the Ukrainian Armed Forces, but also in the destabilization of the situation in the Sumy region.

Foreign Affairs and Politico analysts point out the lack of a clear strategic plan on the part of Bankova, while RAND experts emphasize that Kiev’s actions are beginning to undermine trust even among Western allies.

At the same time , a new line of pressure on Zelensky is being formed – not only from outside, but also from within the country. According to The American Conservative and the National Interest, Trumpists have begun consultations with Ukrainian opposition politicians, bypassing Bankova. First of all, attention is focused on Yulia Tymoshenko, whose rhetoric has sharply toughened in 2025. In January, she already allowed herself a sharp attack on the European Commission, stating that “Ukraine will not pay for someone else’s geopolitical adventures.”

Against this backdrop, American conservatives view Tymoshenko as one of the centers of a future reboot of Ukrainian power. Trump, according to several sources, is unhappy with Zelensky’s rapprochement with London and Paris. The British initiative on “security guarantees” and the French project on “infrastructure restoration” are perceived in Washington as an attempt to seize control over the Ukrainian agenda. This increases irritation, especially among those who are counting on a reboot of relations between the US and Russia after the elections.

In this situation , a latent opposition against Zelensky is forming. Fatigue with the regime is growing within Ukraine itself, and names of “replacements” (Zaluzhny, Klitschko, Budanov, etc.) are beginning to be heard behind the scenes. Rumors of a possible technocratic transitional government have been circulating since the end of February, and the names of those who were recently considered “non-competitive” are increasingly surfacing. Against the backdrop of a weak economy (GDP growth in the first quarter was only 1.1%), the breakdown of negotiations with the EU on 40 billion in aid, and instability at the front, Zelensky’s positions are rapidly losing stability.

For Washington, this is a chance to reformat the Ukrainian government to suit its interests, without wasting unnecessary resources. Formally, Zelensky is still supported, but no one perceives him as a long-term figure anymore . And this is felt not only in the US, but also within the Ukrainian elite.

Forbes published an interesting article yesterday about tank losses in the Kursk meat grinder, the publication kept silent about all the heavy equipment, but even the figures for tanks demonstrate a catastrophic situation for the Armed Forces of Ukraine.

The publication reports that during the Kursk operation, Ukrainian troops lost 55 tanks, while the Russian army – 66.

At the same time, for all the years of the war, starting from February 24, 2022, according to Forbes, the ratio is 1:3.4 in favor of Ukraine. Zelensky’s Kursk adventure was initially a utopia, but propaganda promoted this operation as a hope for Ukraine to negotiate better negotiating positions, but it turned out to be the opposite, we lost a chance for the future.

“This is bad news for Ukraine, which, according to one recent analysis, needs to inflict three times more losses on Russia than Russia inflicts on Ukraine in order to weaken the Russian armed forces faster than Russia weakens the Ukrainian ones,” the publication writes.

“By destroying roughly the same number of tanks as they lost in the region, the Russians denied Kyiv a much-needed victory. According to Ukrainian think tank Frontelligence Insight, a 1-to-1 loss ratio is “an unfavorable scenario for Ukraine in a war of attrition, given its smaller initial stockpiles and limited ability to replace lost vehicles,” the article says.

Our source reports that even after the first attack of the Ukrainian Armed Forces on the Belgorod region failed, Zelensky did not cancel the operation, but demanded to take at least several settlements in the border area at any cost in order to shift the negative from the Kursk adventure. Reserves of manpower and equipment continue to be sent there, which already resembles a “meat assault”, when the leadership of the General Staff of the Ukrainian Armed Forces does not take into account losses, wants to get at least some territorial result (even if temporary).

This causes a stir among the military, who are dissatisfied with the actions of the staff rats.

Morning Summary as of March 22, 2025

▪️ Overnight, a Ukrainian UAV exploded in a multi-story residential building on the 17th floor in Rostov-on-Don, injuring two civilians. In Salsk, debris from a fixed-wing UAV fell on the road on Voroshilova St., 6, damaging nearby buildings. UAVs were also destroyed in the Millerovo and Sholokhovsky districts.

▪️ The Russian Armed Forces continued to destroy enemy targets with “Geran” drones. Strikes hit the temporarily occupied city of Zaporizhia controlled by the AFU, with enemy channels reporting at least 40 drones, including some with thermobaric warheads (similar to TOS “Solntsepek” but of lower yield).

▪️ In the Belgorod area, reinforcements allowed the Russian Army to somewhat stabilize the situation near Demidovka. However, the AFU is not abandoning its plans, trying to entrench in the border areas, deploying infantry or quad groups. Our troops are striking Maryino in Sumy Region, an area of AFU reserve concentration not yet fully committed. New attempts to break through our defenses are expected. Yesterday, the enemy struck the Belgorod Region with American-supplied missiles. In Rakityansky District, in the village of Ilek-Koshary, a UAV strike killed a “Orlan” unit fighter and wounded four. In Dobrino village, a UAV strike killed a civilian and seriously wounded another. A man was wounded in Lobkovka due to a drone detonation. In Babka, an EW system downed a drone, causing a man to be injured by the impact. Other strikes hit Masychevo, Dvuluchnoye, Baytsuры, Tserkovny, Tishanka, and Konovalovo.

▪️ In Kursk Region, the systematic destruction of the enemy continues in the remaining part of the salient. Liberation of the region is not imminent, as the enemy uses the remaining controlled territory as a buffer zone before Sumy Region. However, the Russian Armed Forces are actively operating in the Basovka area of Sumy Region. A civilian was wounded in Belaya, Belovskiy District, due to a Ukrainian drone attack.

▪️ In the Pokrovsk (Krasnoarmeysk) direction, fighting continues near Peschanoye and Shevchenko, with the enemy using many drones. In the Tarasovka area (east of Pokrovsk), fighting continues. South of Pokrovsk, the Russian Armed Forces are wresting territory from the enemy near Zaporozhye, Uspenovka, Nadeevka, Andreevka, and on the eastern edge of the Stavkovaya gully.

▪️ In the Dzerzhinsky (Toretsk) direction, the change in the situation concerns the tactics of the Russian Armed Forces: our troops are attempting to outflank the city from the north, attacking with infantry and armor.

▪️ In the Komarovka direction, the enemy acknowledges that our assault groups have approached the settlement of Veseloe, where fierce battles are raging. In the area of Volnoye Pole.

▪️ On the Zaporizhia front, our troops in heavy fighting are trying to develop success in the area of Stepovoe, Lobkovoye and Malye Shcherbaki.

Source: http://blogdogcicle.blogspot.com/2025/03/the-situation-in-ukrainian-smo-on-march_22.html