ES Morning Update March 7th 2025
We sold off into the close yesterday as expected but I thought it would be just a wave 2 pullback, but instead we took out the low and made a new lower low. What’s next? Here’s what I posted in the free chatroom yesterday and I still think one or the other will happen.
“ONE is that we rip hard after the NFP Report at 8:30 am and open in the cash market with a big gap up. The top will be into Monday. Then we drop hard all week to bottom next Friday with 5500 possible. TWO is that we gap down hard (after the NFP Report) and hit the 5500′s by midday or so tomorrow. Then we rip hard for many days afterwards (more then 2, but I don’t know how long) with no bulls left and a ton of trapped bears. One of these paths is what I see.”
I do not know which one will play out but if it’s number ONE the rally will be short lived. Basically a squeeze into Monday and then we rollover again to hit the low-mid 5500′s by the end of next week. Now if it’s number TWO then I’d have to think the low is in for awhile, meaning any move back down next week should make a higher low.
In this case we’d see the low-mid 5500′s today and a huge intraday reversal back up to close green. If we see this happen everyone will be massively bearish and will short every move up. While there will still be more pullbacks they should not take out the low from a flush of that amount today. Which one will it be? We’ll know after the 8:30 am Non-Farm Payroll Report as that’s where the reaction will determine the direction.
Have a blessed day.
Source: http://reddragonleo.com/2025/03/07/es-morning-update-march-7th-2025/
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