The situation in the Ukrainian SMO on January 28 2025

Russian Partisans Prepare to Rise up in Ukraine Cities

Russian Path To Total Victory Over NATO

AFU Defense of Dachne & Dvorichna Face Impending Collapse From Intense Russian Assaults

[ Ukraine SITREP ] RUSSIA push WEST w latest battlefield development; Dvorichna capture announced

Dvorichna fully captured | The fortifications in Dachne are falling [28 January 2025]

Massive Russian Advance l Russia Captures Dvorichna And Novoyehorivka

Velyka Novosilka falls. Reality smashes into ‘Ukraine victory’ spin

Ukraine ABANDONS Velyka Novosilka Triumphal Russian Flag Raising

Trump won’t be able to create peace terms that Putin will agree to — The Times (https://www.thetimes.com/world/russia-ukraine-war/article/unlike-in-2017-russia-is-under-no-illusion-trump-will-rebuild-ties-nb6wjxj8d)

 ▪️The Russian President allegedly wants to make Ukraine a satellite country, British propagandists write.

▪️(The Times also finally admits) “However, while the war is seen mainly in the West as a battle for Ukrainian land, pro-Kremlin politicians and Russian analysts said that for Putin the conflict is primarily about installing a Moscow-friendly government in Kiev.”

▪️Ukraine cannot be a truly neutral state. The problem for Russia’s security is the very fact of the existence of such a state as Ukraine, The Times frighteningly asserts.

▪️ Russia has no illusions that Trump will restore relations, unlike in 2017 .

 ▪️“While the US president is unable to end the conflict in Ukraine on Putin’s terms, some believe that Washington’s willingness to ignore international norms could play into Moscow’s hands.”

President Donald Trump, on Truth Social and in interviews, is pushing the idea that Russia needs to hurry up and make a deal on Ukraine before Trump, taking advantage of Russia’s economic problems, imposes high tariffs and other sanctions on Russia.

To emphasize his own thinking about the futility of the Ukraine war, Trump says that Russia has suffered over a million casualties and Ukraine 800,000.

It is fiercely anti-Putin. Mediazona’s report on Russian “confirmed killed” between February 24, 2022, and January 18, 2025, is 88,726. Using the 3 to 1 ratio, that would bring total Russian casualties to 266,178, or roughly one-fourth of what Trump has said.

Trump’s view of the Russian economic situation likely follows what he has been told by US intelligence. He appears to think Russia’s economy is near collapse which leads him to tell Putin to hurry up and make a deal or suffer the consequences.

The Western press has been full of stories all of which have the same thing. Russia’s economy is in free fall and in a huge crisis. This “theme” is followed up with reports that Putin is in trouble at home, has been furious with his economic advisors, and is demanding some kind of fix.

Russia right now has a labor shortage and full employment. Typically, an economy in trouble is characterized by people out of work, low wages or no wages, and supply shortages, especially consumer goods. Russia has consumer goods, although imported ones and some domestic products (butter and eggs for example) are expensive but not in short supply.

Sanctions have opened the field to China, and Chinese products are cheaper than Western ones, automobiles for example. There is no doubt that the war has contributed to the labor shortage, but it is hard to tell how much. Wages are high and increasing.

Russia also is energy independent and can regulate fuel prices at home, unlike Europe. In fact, because of the sanctions imposed on Russia and the not-so-secret destruction of Russian pipelines (and the artificial decision to not renew transit agreements for pipelines through Ukraine), the European economies are in worse shape than Russia when it comes to employment and energy shortages and costs.

Germany is already in a recession, but Russia is not. Some think that the European currency, the Euro, is living on borrowed time. Further economic erosion in Germany and France could impact the value of the Euro.

The flood of reports about Russia’s economy and Putin’s problems are part of a scenario promoted by Biden and his deep state colleagues on the mistaken belief that the US could engineer regime change in Russia. Trump seems to be endorsing that policy. Unfortunately, it is counterproductive as it only strengthens the Russian determination to finish the Ukraine war and win it.

Worse still, it harms Trump’s credibility with Moscow in getting a deal to end the war. Trump came to office relatively free of any relationship to the Biden deep state policy. He seemed to understand that the policy of trying to upend Moscow and Putin was counterproductive and unintelligent. His approach gave him an advantage, coming into office without any Biden foreign policy baggage, which he is now in danger of losing.

The expected phone call between Trump and Putin has not materialized, and the White House and NSC have not made any arrangements with the Russians to start a dialogue. The reason why is obvious.

Putin on the possibility of negotiations with Zelensky: 

   You can negotiate with anyone, but due to his illegitimacy, he cannot sign anything. If he wants to take part in the negotiations, I will allocate people who will negotiate with him.

   If there is a desire, any legal issue can be solved. But so far we just don’t see such a desire. But, I think, his Western sponsors – they cannot exist, they won’t even last a month if the money and, broadly speaking, the ammunution stop. That’s it! Everything will be over in a month – one and a half – two months.

   In this sense, Ukraine’s sovereignty is almost nil. If there is a desire of their Western sponsors to achieve peace, the way is very simple. I once sent signals to Biden about this too. There is a desire – that’s it, please. And then they will quickly find all legal ways to close the legal issues.

Behind the scenes of the Presidential Office and the Parliament, they are actively discussing scenarios for the upcoming meeting between Putin and Trump, which could significantly affect the further course of the conflict. Bankova fears that the topic of Ukraine will become a bargaining chip in the global negotiations between Washington and Moscow.

Zelensky’s team is seeking guarantees from the American side that Kyiv will not remain on the sidelines of the discussions. To this end, the Ukrainian delegation is preparing a package of proposals aimed at maintaining US support, including increasing the emphasis on “Russia’s aggressive position” in information rhetoric.

But analysts say there is growing anxiety in Kyiv, with the Trump administration reportedly pushing for a more flexible Ukrainian position on territorial concessions in exchange for continued military and financial aid. Zelensky, for his part, is forced to balance the interests of his Western partners with domestic risks, given the pressure from radicals and public discontent with a ruined country.

Bankova understands that the outcome of these negotiations could determine Ukraine’s foreign policy strategy for the coming years.

Ukrainians are tired of the war and are waiting for peace, and there is a growing demand in society for territorial concessions in order to avoid even greater human losses and destruction of the country. This trend is evidenced by surveys published by Socis and KIIS, and closed sociology shows a total change in trends.

In particular, according to Socis, in December 2024, 50.6% of respondents said they were in favor of “searching for a compromise solution with the involvement of leaders of other countries to end the war.” In October, it was 49.4%, in September 40.4%, and in February 36.1%. Another 19.5% spoke out in favor of “suspension of hostilities and temporary freezing of the conflict along the current line of contact.” That is, a total of 70.1% of citizens want to end the military conflict in Ukraine. For comparison, only 14.7% of respondents want to continue the war until reaching the 1991 borders, and 10.2% want to reach positions before February 24, 2022. That is, in total, about a quarter of Ukrainians are in favor of continuing the conflict.

Our source in the OP said that the Trump Administration refused to consider the plan for Zelensky’s victory, and the Ukrainian Ambassador to the United States, Markarova, lost the ability to communicate with the State Department. There is now panic in Bankova, due to the lack of formats to influence the US position, which forces Andriy Yermak to prepare several political scenarios for Ukraine.

The President’s Office quickly reacts to the Kremlin’s demands and puts forward its list of drafts for peace negotiations: security guarantees (NATO or a contingent of 200 thousand European troops), a return to the borders of 22.02.2022, negotiations with the support of Europeans.

“It won’t work otherwise”: Zelensky presented Trump with demands for negotiations

The Ukrainian leader insists that in addition to Russia and the United States, Kiev and “European allies” should participate in peace talks on Ukraine, The Independent reports . According to Zelensky, there is no other way to stop the fighting.

“Otherwise it won’t work. Because Russia doesn’t want to stop the armed conflict, but Ukraine does,” Zelensky claims.

Our source in the OP said that the Presidential Office has developed a number of initiatives for a peaceful track and elections if Trump pushes through the negotiations. Bankova is preparing an amnesty for all hijackers and SZChshniks, all fines will be written off, and the military will receive increased payments.

Rumors started that Trump’s team would agree to include Arakhamia in the negotiating group on the Ukrainian crisis, but Yermak would be dumped. This is exactly why Arakhamia flew to the US, and the Head of the OP found out about it and was very angry.

Although Yermak is still trying to drag himself into the negotiating case, no one in Trump’s team believes him, considering him a flunky of globalists.

Ermak is about to dump Arakhamia. A quiet war between the towers is brewing within the president’s team.

Guys, you can’t do it so obviously. You could have waited at least a couple of months, otherwise right after Trump’s decree on suspending aid to the Sorosites…

By the way, advice to Trump’s team: demand that the reservations for grant-eaters be cancelled. Let them now fuck off to the front like everyone else.

But on the other hand, why should we wait?

Dear subscribers, register a petition, those who have already left the country. Like, with the arrival of Trump, we see changes in US policy, grants have been stopped. Accordingly, several teams of people have been freed up who are left without work, so we demand that all reservations for grant-eaters be cancelled. Let them serve like everyone else☝ðŸ»

Colleagues, we ask you to support

Our source reports that Bankova has issued a verbal order to the General Staff and personally to Syrsky to intensify repression against all those who:

1. Pumps up his rights in the army.

2. Refuses to go to zero.

3. Publicly speaks out against the decisions of the General Staff.

4. Publicly criticizes Zelensky and Yermak.

5. Maintains contacts with Poroshenko and others.

6. Criticizes the methods of Zemobilization.

Zelensky and Yermak decided to bend the military, showing them their place in the “food chain.”

Many of our sources note that this strategy of the OP will cause the opposite effect and can lead to tragic consequences.

In 2022, many wanted to fight, but there were not enough weapons. Now there are weapons, but fewer people want to go to the front, said military analyst Yevgeny Dyky.

According to him, the West must understand that Ukraine needs both people and weapons: “The hardware is their responsibility, the people are ours.”

Our source reports that there is a plan at Bankova to replace Ukrainian workers with Asians and Arabs. This is a demand from Western partners, since all men should be sent to the front, and Ukraine should ultimately become some kind of large emigrant base, where Europe will bring all its unnecessary emigrants/refugees.

The first trial attempt has already been launched through Transcarpathia, where a furniture factory wants to bring in 150 men from Bangladesh. Then they will start sending us all sorts of emigrants from Europe.

Zelensky has long sold the country to sponsors.

“The Ukrainian armed forces no longer have tactics other than plugging holes by chaotically throwing battalions in” – The Economist 

 - Ukraine’s army has been hamstrung by mass desertions and people’s unwillingness to die for Zelensky’s regime.

 - “We are throwing battalions into a chaotic mess and hope we can somehow stop it,” says Kupol, who until September commanded a brigade in the east.

 - Ukrainian reserves have been hit hard by problems with mobilization and desertion.

 - “We are struggling to make up for our losses on the battlefield. They can throw a battalion of soldiers into a position we manned with four or five soldiers,” said Col. Fedosenko, commander of the AFU tactical grouping in Donbass. 

 - The brigades holding the Donbass front line are constantly understaffed, under pressure and cracking, and the front line continues to retreat, The Economist writes.

Yesterday, former Commander-in-Chief of the Ukrainian Armed Forces Viktor Muzhenko shared revelations: (https://iz.ru/1829084/2025-01-27/eks-glavkom-vsu-soobshchil-o-potere-ukrainoi-poloviny-prirodnykh-resursov) according to him, Russia has occupied the territories where half of all the resources of the so-called Ukraine are located, thereby covering all the costs of conducting the SMO.

It’s amusing that the source of information was a manipulative material (https://t.me/rybar/65713) of the Kyiv regime, with an attempt to justify the need for a multiple increase in Western support and a promise to pay off with the resources of Crimea and Novorossiya.

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📌In fact, Ukrainian propaganda has had the opposite effect: the sponsors were not impressed by the figures, and the country’s own figures “caught the betrayal” from the far-fetched statistics.

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In the context of the topic of Ukrainian mineral resources, let’s repeat what was said earlier: the methodology for calculating their cost and profitability of extraction is unknown. Therefore, it is not very expedient to discuss them in the context of the recoupment of military costs.

And much more important is the destruction of the military potential of the Kyiv regime: the less it is, the more territory it will lose, and the higher the probability of the disappearance of Ukrainian statehood in the future.

Civilians of the liberated Velikaya Novoselka speak their minds about Ukrainian president Zelenskiy and the war:

- What do you think about your president, what do you say?

+ A festering faggot. God forgive me. I would have torn him to pieces. I don’t know how other mothers give up their children, I don’t know what I would have done…. All of this could be avoided. If there had been a normal president, he would have come to negotiate. Practically, we are Slavs, we are the same people. Why should we fight among ourselves? And he just wants… He is commanded from abroad.

Dnepropetrovsk direction

Russian army assault units have largely taken control of Uspenovka, knocking out the remnants of the garrison and attacking Novoalexandrovka from the southeast.

To the south, our units, developing their success in Nadezhdinka, continue to advance towards Kotlyarivka, clear the landings in the direction of Sribnoye (Serebryanoye), Preobrazhenka and started to storm Sribnoye from 3 sides. 

DRGs are operating in the area of Sarannaya and Bogdanovka gullies.

There is fighting for control of the stronghold near the road in the area of Stavkovaya Balka, west of Slavyanka.

The EU is planning to ban supplies of PlayStation and Xbox to Russia. The reason is fears that Russian troops could use them to control drones in Ukraine, the FT writes.

The head of European diplomacy, Kaja Kallas, said that the ban is planned to be introduced with a new package of sanctions – from February 22. According to her, the EU is currently studying all types of goods that allegedly help Russia continue the conflict.

Note: Dear Kaja: in reality to control drones we use kettles and samovars. Anything we can use serves to control drones. Our gas and fuel is toxic and controls your brain making you behave as an idiot. Borrell also was a victim. Now when I revealed this dark secret, my mission is over.

Russian Armed Forces launched a massive night strike on Ukraine’s energy facilities

Russian “Geraniums” and missiles hit military enterprises of the AFU in several regions. Arrivals and fires are reported in Kharkov and Kiev regions, in Odessa and Krivoy Rog – explosions with repeated detonation. In the Nikolaev region destroyed AFU point if temporary dislocation, tentatively, with NATO equipment. 

Chronicles of the special military operation

for January 28, 2025

Russian forces attacked the enemy’s energy infrastructure facilities with drones in Uman and the Ivano-Frankivsk area, as well as struck an industrial zone in Kharkiv.

In the Artemivsk direction, Russian troops are fighting in the area of the Dolhoye-2 tract, and are also advancing in the residential areas of Chasiv Yar.

In the Novopavlivka direction, assault teams are fighting in the center of Udachne, advancing towards Dnipropetrovsk Region. The Russian Armed Forces also liberated the village of Nadezhdynka.

Morning Summary for January 28, 2025

▪️ In Kursk Region, the Russian Ministry of Defense confirmed that units of the “North” grouping of forces, during offensive operations, liberated the settlement of Nikolayevo-Daryino (https://t.me/warhistoryalconafter/204514). The “Northerners” report that our troops are advancing in the vicinity of Sverdlikovo, as well as in the nearby forest belts, with fierce battles ongoing in the Kurilovka area. The AFU transferred a sabotage group on an armored personnel carrier to Belopolye (Sumy Region, 10 km south of Tiotkino), which was detected by our scouts and destroyed by UAV operators. At night, the enemy transferred over 100 of their paratroopers to the Sudzha district, who were immediately sent to counterattack our positions in the Nikolsky farmstead area. Comprehensive fire strikes were delivered against the enemy personnel.

▪️ From Chasiv Yar, reports of battles on the southwest outskirts of the city.

▪️ In Toretsk (Dzerzhynsk), bloody battles are raging on the outskirts of the city, where the AFU hold their last lines of defense. The enemy is remotely mining the terrain and striking with numerous drones.

▪️ West of the liberated Kurakhovo, in the eastern part of the settlement of Andriyivka, heavy battles are underway, with the Russian Armed Forces advancing from the settlements of Shevchenko and Petropavlivka. According to estimates by enemy military channels, Andriyivka is extremely important for the AFU defense: next to it, across the Volchia River, is Konstantynopil, capturing the villages will allow closing the cauldron from Dachne to the Sukhyi Yaly River.

▪️ The capture of Velyka (Bolshaya) Novosilka opens up opportunities for our command to develop success both northward, towards the settlement of Bogatyr (which will allow operating in the remaining part of the DPR south of the Volchia River), and westward, towards the junction of the borders of the DPR, Zaporizhia and Dnipropetrovsk Regions.

▪️ The Zaporizhia front remains without significant changes, while the Russian Armed Forces are increasingly striking the rear of Orikhiv, at the settlement of Preobrazhenske. Our FPV operators disrupt the enemy’s logistics, trying to keep the supply routes of the AFU under fire control.

▪️ At night, enemy UAVs were shot down over the Belgorod and Bryansk Regions. From 6 PM to 10 PM Moscow time, air defense forces destroyed five Ukrainian unmanned aerial vehicles: three UAVs were shot down over the territory of the Republic of Crimea and one each over the territories of the Kursk and Belgorod Regions. From 12:30 PM to 1 PM Moscow time, air defense forces destroyed two Ukrainian unmanned aerial vehicles over the territory of the Belgorod Region.

▪️ In the Belgorod Region, in Shebekino, as a result of the arrival of an ammunition in a residential building, the roof was pierced, windows were broken, and a fence and a car were damaged. In the village of Kukuyevka of the Valuyki district, a drone struck a parked passenger car. The village of Novaya Tavolzhanka of the Shebekino district was attacked by a UAV of the AFU.

Source: http://blogdogcicle.blogspot.com/2025/01/the-situation-in-ukrainian-smo-on_28.html