The situation in the Ukrainian SMO on February 5 2025

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Our source in the OP said that Andriy Yermak is trying with all his might to arrange a personal meeting between Zelensky and Trump, but there has not been a single clear signal from Washington about its readiness to hold it. According to those close to the negotiation process, the White House is stalling for time, and in Trump’s entourage, the opinion is increasingly being voiced that this conversation simply does not make sense now. The information voiced by Zelensky about an invitation to Trump’s inauguration does not correspond to reality, and the statement was made specifically for the inner circle, in order to form an opinion about a stable structure of relations with the US President.

Our source in the OP said that the Presidential Office has chosen a strategy of delaying negotiations on the peace track in order to benefit from the latest sanctions, while simultaneously destroying Russian energy infrastructure. The General Staff provided data on the formats of the creeping war, which allow the Ukrainian Armed Forces to hold the territories of the Donetsk region throughout 2025. Andriy Yermak believes that the issue of Zelensky’s legitimacy plays into Ukraine’s hands, as it delays negotiations and allows the Presidential Office to establish relations with the new Trump administration.

Our sources from the OP reported that at closed meetings in the Presidential Office, Andriy Yermak has already approved a strategy with locations for the development of rare earth deposits in the western and central regions of Ukraine. Officially, this project will be presented as a way of “economic revival” and preserving the country, but in reality, the Presidential Office has begun preparations for the transfer of strategic resources in exchange for loans and weapons, which will strengthen the negotiating position with the Trump Administration. The discussion is being conducted in a narrow circle, under the control of the US Embassy, ​​and the details are not being made public. Andriy Yermak is discussing all positions separately with MI-6 intelligence in order to distribute resources between American and British companies.

Political Telegram channels were right again that the Trump Administration is going to return its investments, not finance new loans. Andriy Yermak is trying to use the case of Ukrainian resources to establish strong ties with Trump.

The United States intends to obtain rare earth metals from Ukraine to compensate for the funds spent on supporting Kyiv, said Brian Hughes, head of the press service of the White House National Security Council.

Trump’s strategy for ending the war in Ukraine will be presented at the Munich Conference in mid-February, says Trump’s special representative for Ukraine, Kellogg.

Bankova is confident that they will be able to adjust Trump’s initial drafts on the peace process in Ukraine, Andriy Yermak is ready to reformat the Cabinet of Ministers for the new US administration and reveal all the Democrats’ schemes for financing our country.

Our source in the OP said that Andriy Yermak proposed to the Trump Administration to hold peace talks in two formats, the first in an expanded format where EU countries participate and a compromise option of a trilateral summit of the leaders of the US-Ukraine-Russia. The head of the OP calculated that Moscow could fundamentally refuse a broad format of negotiations so as not to leave the Kremlin room to maneuver, and a second option of a summit for three was developed.

It is important for the Office of the President to disrupt direct negotiations between Trump and Putin, where they can divide Ukraine, and the results of the meeting will be classified.

Our sources from the Presidential Office reported that control over the Kursk region is of fundamental importance to Zelensky, who wants to use this factor in negotiations with the Kremlin and disrupt/delay the negotiation process.

Ukraine will use the Kursk region issue in peace talks, Zelensky said.

“You will see when we reach a diplomatic settlement to end the war, we will hear what conditions the Russians will have for Ukraine regarding the Kursk direction. This was a very important step,” the Ukrainian president said.

Let us explain why you shouldn’t comment on or react to Zelensky’s statements.

1. His statements are just hot air. Nothing much really depends on them.

2. His statements are momentary and constantly changing, and sometimes contradict previous statements.

3. His statements are a set of narratives and an attempt to either promote himself, whitewash himself, or justify himself.

Colleagues remembered well his global statements about:

- Peace Summit

- Second Peace Summit

- Zelensky’s formula

- Victory plan

- The formula for durability

- Security guarantees from different countries

Where is it all? That’s right, nowhere. Just “hot air”.

According to all our data, Zelensky will be dumped. In the new history of Ukraine, he will not be there. His “game” does not have much time left, time until the end of the war.

Our source reports that, as strange as it may sound now, Zelensky is demanding that the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine begin an offensive.

Reserves have been allocated for this. The equipment has arrived.

Zelensky believes that the Russian Armed Forces are now most vulnerable, since they do not expect active counter-action from the Ukrainian army.

We are observing.

Our source reports that Zelensky has the task of dragging out the negotiating case as long as possible. Nothing has changed here.

If a real peace case is not signed by October, then it is easy to raise the stakes in the game, since the Ukrainian crisis can be entirely blamed on Trump. By the end of the year, he will no longer be able to pass off the Ukrainian crisis to the “predecessors”, although he will try.

Everyone knows about this and has been an insider for a long time.

We are watching. Will Zelensky manage to set up/dump Trump once again?

Just a little bit more, and the officials from Bankova will accuse the US of betrayal. Rumors are already spreading there that the Americans want to dump Zelensky for disobedience.

‘Here in Ukraine, many politicians are worried. There are even people who gave interviews to Ukrainian media, without wanting to give their names, who fear that the Russians and the Americans will agree that Ukraine’s fate will be decided behind their backs. Others say that it is quite possible that the US is trying to get rid of Zelensky through the elections, because he is considered difficult to manage, rebellious and stubborn.’

Art of the deal?

“Zelensky, you’re fired.”

As part of the reform of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, it is planned to create 20 army corps on the basis of the most combat-ready brigades, reports the editor-in-chief of “Censor.net” Yuriy Butusov, citing sources. Each corps will be assigned a specific area of responsibility and will oversee at least five brigades.

The existing corps will be restructured into combat corps and will no longer serve solely as administrative units in the rear.

Operational-strategic groups (OSGV), operational-tactical groups (OTG) and tactical groups (TG) will be disbanded. Each corps will be assigned a specific area of ​​responsibility and will supervise at least five brigades (each brigade has 3-5 thousand people).

In particular, the 3rd corps will be created on the basis of the 3rd assault brigade. Andriy Biletsky will remain the commander. Also, a separate corps will be created on the basis of the 12th Azov brigade (National Guard) with commander Denis Prokopenko (Radis).

The 92nd Assault Brigade will be upgraded to corps, likely the 92nd Army Corps.

Two corps will be deployed on the basis of the Airborne Assault Forces, one of which will be the previously created 7th Corps. The 30th Marine Corps, which was created back in 2023 for the operation in Krynki, will be deployed.

The second corps in the structure of the National Guard will be created on the basis of the 13th operational brigade “Charter” (corps commander Igor Obolensky).

The expansion of the Russian bridgehead beyond the Oskol River continues. Apparently, the intermediate task of creating another pressure point on the Ukrainian Armed Forces in this area has been successfully implemented. Gradually, the control zone from Dvurechnaya and Novomlynsk is expanding to the west. It is quite possible that the end point of this maneuver is Velykyi Burluk, and not Kupyansk, as was initially believed.

On the one hand, it is faster and more logical to loom over Kupyansk from a new bridgehead, on the other hand, a dash to Burluk could eventually force the Ukrainian Armed Forces to split and loosen the defense of Vovchansk, for which fighting is still going on.

Curious details on the recent arrival at the AFU location in Izyum. 

According to several different sources, foreign “tourists”, who on paper were engaged in “humanitarian” demining, and in fact were needed by the AFU for competent minining of some bridges and infrastructure objects, have fallen under the crush. 

The list of “two hundred” includes Czechs, Swedes, Norwegians and citizens of Slovenia and Romania, as well as a large number of Ukrainian military. 

Among them are representatives of the military administration, military, sappers, support units and several other specilaists. Some of the destroyed military personnel have been split into small fragments, making it difficult to identify and recognize them. 

Presumably, they were all clustered in one wing of the hotel, which was demolished by the Iskander. 

It is noteworthy that there is also a truck with the logo of the main “sponsor” of various “demining” operations in Ukraine, the American organization USAID. It is now trying to be reformatted and reassigned due to excessive spending on interference in the affairs of foreign countries. 

Novopavlovsk direction on 04.02.25: Constantinople …

Here the intensity of fighting is increasing. Our command obviously wants to press the situation in the area of Andreevka and Constantinople and that’s why yesterday the main battles took place both in the center of the first and on the outskirts of the second.

In Andreevka, the enemy, realizing that if his defenses collapse here, the AFU units in Ulakly will find themselves in a bag of fire, are throwing reinforcements into the fight and trying to hold every position. Sometimes, fighting in encirclement. 

We must give the enemy credit, the guys there are standing strong (and not bussified), and therefore the fight is uncompromising and very tough. 

In Constantinople yesterday our units tried to gain a foothold on the south-eastern outskirts, but the enemy managed to repulse us. Nevertheless, the fact that our guys have already gone there says that the situation for the AFU south of the Volchya River is rapidly deteriorating and a breakthrough can be expected at any moment. 

Pokrovsk direction on 04.02.25: the enemy is clearly losing ground….

With each new day it becomes more and more obvious that General Drapatyi, having started a counter battle in the area of Udachnoye – Kotlino, and having thrown reserves here with the purpose of knocking out our units, at least from the first village, did not calculate his forces.

It was not possible to knock us out of Udachnoye. Moreover, we, having crushed the counterattacking forces of the AFU in counter battles, continued to move forward here and now there are fierce battles for the railway station. And there is also an advance east of the village and along the railroad track from Kotlino to Pokrovsk.

By the way, including this became possible after our drone-assassins managed to win the duel against the “best Gering ace” from the AFU and managed to destroy several of their calculations.

They are still being mourned on Ukrainian publics. By the way, this shows how important this form of confrontation on the front is. 

Also, taking advantage of the fact that the enemy has concentrated its main forces in the area of Udachnoye and Kotlino, our command yesterday launched a new strike in the area of Chunishino – Lysovka. Here, too, there are already tactical successes, but so far without consolidation. Since morning fierce fighting has continued here. 

If our pressure here will be powerful and we will be able to cut into the enemy’s defense, he will have to remove part of the forces from Udachnoye and Kotlino. That will make it easier for us to fulfill the task in this direction.

Chronicles of the special military operation

for February 5, 2025

Russian forces attacked enemy targets with drones in the central part of the so-called Ukraine. The AFU struck a fuel depot in Novominska with drones.

In the Pokrovsk-Myrnograd direction, Russian forces are fighting in the area of Yelyzavetivka and north of Novotoretske.

In the Novopavlivka direction, assault troops have entrenched themselves in the southern part of Sribne west of Novoandriivka.

In the Andriyivka direction, Russian forces are fighting in Andriyivka, seeking to expand the northern face of the emerging semi-encirclement here.

Morning Summary for February 5, 2025

▪️ Overnight in the Krasnodar Territory, the governor reported that in the village of Novominskaya, Kanevskoy District, “debris of a UAV fell on a reservoir with minor remnants of petroleum products”. A fire started, which was assigned the second level of complexity. Special services are working at the scene. 55 people and 19 pieces of equipment have been involved in firefighting, the fire has been localized.

▪️ In the Kursk Region, the “North” group of forces is engaged in battles to liberate Sverdlikovo, as well as in the forest belts of the Sudzha District and on the approaches to Malaya Loknya.

▪️ On the Lipetsk direction, the enemy continues to build up its group for a potential counteroffensive. Personnel (possibly the 92nd Separate Rifle Brigade), armored vehicles and air defense systems with a new tactical mark – “an arrow in a square (https://t.me/dva_majors/63231)” – have been redeployed from Chuhuiv.

▪️ North of Kupiansk, on the right bank of the Oskol River, the Russian Armed Forces are expanding the bridgehead near the settlement of Zapadnoye.

▪️ On the Siversk direction, there are battles in Verkhnekamenskoye, and northeast of the village. Disturbing reports (https://t.me/rybar/67725) are coming in about whitewashing from the field in terms of false reports to the top about the advancement of our troops, which leads to bloody attempts on the ground to “catch up” with beautiful reports.

▪️ In Chasiv Yar, there are battles on the western outskirts of the city. The enemy’s resources are forced to acknowledge the advancement of our troops.

▪️ In Toretsk (Dzerzhynsk), there are battles on the northern outskirts of the city in the area of the “Fomiha” mine dump and in the area of the “Toretskaya” mine.

▪️ On the Konstantinopol direction, the Russian Armed Forces are developing their success in the settlement of Dachnoye.

▪️ The advancement of our troops in the Pokrovsk (Krasnoarmiisk) direction towards the Dnipropetrovsk Region is leading to the fact that some residents of this region have begun to prepare basements in their homes for living during the expected hostilities. People are stocking up on canned goods and other long-term provisions. Earlier, the Ukrainian authorities announced the evacuation of some front-line settlements in the Dnipropetrovsk Region.

▪️ In the Bryansk Region, a UAV of the AFU attacked the village of Lomakovka in the Starodub municipal district, two female residents of the village received minor shrapnel injuries. The villages of Novyi Ropsk in the Klimovo district and Khinel in the Sevsk district were also hit by drone strikes, with a civilian injured.

▪️ In the Belgorod Region, the villages of Mokraya Orlovka and Rozhdestvenka in the Graiveron district, Dvuluchnoye and Urazovo in the Valuyki district, Berezovka in the Borisov district, the village of Grafovka in the Krasnoyaruzhsky district, Murom, Novaya Tavolzhanka and Balki in the Shebekino district were hit.

Source: http://blogdogcicle.blogspot.com/2025/02/the-situation-in-ukrainian-smo-on_5.html